Friday, May 10, 2019

President Obama and Goldman Sachs: A Quid Pro Quo?

Wall Street and the White House may be closer than the typical American thinks. One way this is accomplished is for a bank to contribute heavily to both presidential campaigns so as to be able to hedge political risk by getting ex-managers into strategic posts in the executive arm of the U.S. Government. This can be the case even when one of the candidates has campaigned on holding Wall Street accountable, such as after the financial crisis of 2008. There is the campaign slogan, and there is the political-economic reality underneath. 
U.S. President Obama nominated Timothy Geithner to be Secretary of the Treasury. While president of the New York Federal Reserve Bank, he had played a key role in forcing AIG to pay Goldman Sachs’ claims dollar for dollar. Geithner, as well as Henry Paulson, Goldman’s ex-CEO who was serving at the time as Secretary of the Treasury under President Bush, stopped AIG from the leverage in its bankrupt condition to pay claimants much less than full value, which would have been expected given AIG's plight. Once Geithner became Secretary of the Treasury under Obama, Geithner’s chief of staff was Mark Patterson, a former lobbyist for Goldman Sachs.
To head the Commodity Futures Trading Commission—the regulatory agency that Born had headed during the previous administration—Obama picked Gary Gensler, a former Goldman Sachs executive who had helped ban the regulation of derivatives in 1999. Born had pushed for the securities to be regulated, only to be bullied by Alan Greenspan (Chairman of the Federal Revere) and Larry Summers, whom Obama would have as his chief economic adviser. To head the SEC, Obama nominated Mary Shapiro, the former CEO of FINRA, the financial industry’s self-regulatory body.
In short, Obama stacked his financial appointees during his first term with people who had played a role in or at least benefited financially from financial bubble that came crashing down in September 2008. Put another way, Obama selected people who had taken down the barriers to spreading systemic risk to fix the problem. Why would he have done so? Could it have been part of the quid pro quo the president had agreed to when he accepted the $1 million campaign contribution from Goldman Sachs (the largest contribution to Obama in 2007)? Might Goldman’s executives have wanted to hedge their bets should the Democrat win? Unfortunately, getting Goldman alums in high positions of government would essentially make the U.S. Government a Wall Street Government—one that would be hampered in holding Wall Streeters accountable, even in terms of criminal prosecutions related to the financial crisis. It is no accident, we can conclude, that the spiraling economic inequality increased during the Democrat’s first term of office.

Source: Inside Job (2010), directed by Charles Ferguson

Monday, May 6, 2019

The U.S. Department of Justice: Big Banks May Legitimately Be above the Law

The Financial Times reported in 2013 that lawmakers in the U.S. Congress were claiming that the Department of Justice had been “too soft on big banks and their executives by failing to bring criminal cases related to the financial crisis.”[1] In the five years following the financial crisis of 2008, no Wall Street executive was criminally charged with fraud. The U.S. Justice Department chose not to go after the bankers for their lack of due diligence regarding their purchases of sub-prime mortgages from mortgage originators. This in spite of the fact that at Citibank, for example, a manager in the bank’s due diligence department estimated that 50% to 80% of the approved mortgages did not meet the bank’s credit policy, and yet Robert Rubin, the CEO at the time, did not act on the manager’s email. This suggests that a criminal complaint could have been lodged against the bank itself, but then what would be the implications for the financial system should Citibank had gone under after being found criminally guilty? Does it even hold that a guilty verdict would mean bankruptcy? Simply stated, a company can be so large that its failure due to a guilty verdict could harm innocent third parties, including stockholders, employees, suppliers, and even the general public if the bankruptcy triggers a systemic collapse of the financial system. Such concerns are called collateral consequences. 
After the collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008, systemic risk became a particularly salient concern for criminal prosecutors at the U.S. Department of Justice. Swayed by a desire to minimize the potential disproportionate harm to innocent parties from a verdict-triggered major bankruptcy, the prosecutors believed they were obligated to consider collateral consequences even if that meant that the really big banks would be immune from criminal prosecution. To such banks, this could be used as a competitive advantage because keeping within the constraints of law in making money would not apply. I contend, therefore, that the U.S. Government should not have taken collateral consequences into consideration. 


 Mythili Raman testifying before Congress. mainjustice.com

Mythili Raman, Acting Assistant Attorney General in the Criminal Division, argued that collateral factors as a group should be considered. Testifying before Congress on May 22, 2013, she cited “the disproportionate impact on innocent third parties, including the public at large,” as being entirely appropriate for prosecutors to consider.[2] Her reference to the general public means that systemic risk was among the legitimate factors in her view, and yet she also said, “the size of a corporation will never be a factor in and of itself and that no institution is too big to prosecute.”[3] Crucially, her position was that one particular consequence should never be the only factor. “A single collateral consequence cannot be the reason.” However, she added that “collateral consequences are issues that we must and do consider.”[4] Because banks too big to fail tend to have more than one significant collateral consequence (e.g., many stockholders and employees, as well as systemic risk), such banks may be too big to jail.
In testimony before Congress in March 2013, U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder had admitted that the lawyers in his department were wary of the “negative impact” on the economy from prosecuting a large financial institution. “(I)t is a function of the fact that some of these institutions have become too large.” Differing from Raman, he thought the size of large banks “has an inhibiting influence – impact on our ability to bring resolutions that I think would be more appropriate. . . . (a)nd I think that is something that we – you all – need to consider.”[5] I want to unpack this rather robust admission, for it is significant.
Firstly, the Attorney General was hinting at what Sen. Kaufman had observed while in office. Namely, it should not have been the F.B.I.’s concern whether the Wall Street banks continued as viable concerns. In other words, systemic risk or even collateral consequences more generally had no business being considered by prosecutors whose job it was to enforce the law. Including systemic risk among the collateral consequences thus further compromised the rule of law. As Sen. Charles Grassley put it, “It was stunning to hear the nation’s top prosecutor acknowledge that, from the justice department’s perspective, the big banks are too big to jail. This is worrisome for the fair application of justice in our country.”[6]
Secondly, the Attorney General was suggesting that Congress should reduce the size of the biggest banks—those with over $1 trillion in assets. This would have removed the specter of banks being too big to jail. Also, by implication, Holder had concluded that the Dodd-Frank Act would not be sufficient to solve the "too big to fail" problem. That law was premised in part on the theoretically beautiful but practically insufficient assumption that imposing disproportionate capital reserve requirements on the biggest banks would not only be enough to keep them sound even in a financial crisis, but would also prompt the banks' boards to reduce the size of their banks. Besides of cost-advantages in being so large, and getting even larger as the five biggest banks have since done, the psychology of empire-building, which had gripped Lehman's Dick Fuld so, can easily dismiss the disproportionate costs of retaining or enlarging size. 
Regarding the implications for the U.S. Department of Justice should the biggest banks have taken the bait and voluntarily reduced their respective sizes, it is clear that if no systemic risk (i.e., of being too big to fail without taking the whole financial system down) were to exist, then third-party collateral damage would not be disproportionate so the banks (and bankers) could be prosecuted. Accordingly, the Huffington Post observed at the time that lawmakers “may be encouraged to apply even more public pressure on efforts to crack down on big banks.” [7] Lawmakers having received campaign contributions from those banks, however, would hardly do so. In fact, those members of Congress would even defend the large sizes of the biggest banks. 
Exceptions admittedly existed. Rep. Sherman, the chair of the full committee, noted while Raman was testifying that the fact that the Department of Justice considered collateral consequences rather than simply enforced the law was enough justification to break up the big banks. Putting aside the issue of size for the conduct of banking (e.g., whether a gigantic sized bank is necessary to make huge loans or would a syndicate of banks do as good of a job and spread the risk), having powerful people and organizations de facto above the law is something that just cannot be permitted in a republic. So on this basis alone, the rationale goes, society had an overwhelming interest in braking up the largest U.S. banks. 
Unfortunately, being too big to fail has carried (and still carries) with it tremendous political power—muscle that could have been used all too easily to resist legislative proposals (or even public debate) oriented to seriously downsizing the mammoth banks. This has the real problem since economic power became so concentrated in large corporations and banks: can a republic resist the power of its most powerful for the good even of the economy, and the public societal good more generally? Were the big banks pulling the strings that led to Raman’s assertion that collateral consequences “must and should” be considered in deciding whether to prosecute? Whether Raman realized it or not at the time, the implication that the rule of law applied impartially should be compromised by the magnitude of the predicted collateral consequences from a corporate conviction is, euphemistically speaking, troubling.

See “The Untouchables,” Frontline, January 22, 2013 and Essays on the Financial Crisis: Systemic Greed and Arrogant Stupidity, available at Amazon.
1. Shahien Nasiripour and Kara Schannell, “Holder Says Some Banks Are ‘Too Large,” The Financial Times, March 7, 2013.
2 Congressional Hearing, “Who Is Too Big to Fail: Are Large Financial Institutions Immune from Federal Prosecution?” Financial Services Committee, Oversight and Investigations Sub-Committee, U.S. House of Representatives, May 22, 2013. See also the letter to sub-committee membersShahien Nasiripour, “Too-Big-To-Jail Dogs Obama’s Justice Department As Government Documents Raise Questions,” The Huffington Post, May 22, 2013.
3. Ibid.
4. Ibid.
5. Nasiripour and Schannell,  “Holder Says Some Banks Are ‘Too Large’,”
6. Ibid.
7. Ibid.

Thursday, May 2, 2019

Big Bankers and the U.S. Government: A Coalition Circumventing Accountability on Wall Street

It is interesting that the U.S. Department of Justice did not pursue the fraudulent bankers on Wall Street not only during the Bush presidency, but also the following presidency, that of Barak Obama.  Not coincidentally, Goldman Sachs was the single biggest campaign contributor to Obama’s 2008 candidacy for president. It would seem that Wall Street had both political parties in a net by the time of the financial crisis in September, 2008. A sector of the economy being able to control both major parties is bad for not only industrial policy (i.e., favoritism), but also democracy. In short, a government should have enough strength to constrain a business sector, rather than being subject to it. The latter condition implies continued vulnerability should greed again get ahead of itself on Wall Street. By nature, greed, if allowed to go on running on its own steam, accumulates more and more momentum. 

The New York Times reported in 2011, “legal experts point to numerous questionable activities where criminal probes might have borne fruit and possibly still could. Investigators, they argue, could look more deeply at the failure of executives to fully disclose the scope of the risks on their books during the mortgage mania, or the amounts of questionable loans they bundled into securities sold to investors that soured. Prosecutors also could pursue evidence that executives knowingly awarded bonuses to themselves and colleagues based on overly optimistic valuations of mortgage assets — in effect, creating illusory profits that were wiped out by subsequent losses on the same assets. And they might also investigate whether executives cashed in shares based on inside information, or misled regulators and their own boards about looming problems. Merrill Lynch, for example, understated its risky mortgage holdings by hundreds of billions of dollars. And public comments made by Angelo R. Mozilo, the chief executive of Countrywide Financial, praising his mortgage company’s practices were at odds with derisive statements  he made privately in e-mails as he sold shares; the stock subsequently fell sharply as the company’s losses became known. Executives at Lehman Brothers assured investors in the summer of 2008 that the company’s financial position was sound, even though they appeared to have counted as assets certain holdings pledged by Lehman to other companies, according to a person briefed on that case. At Bear Sterns, the first major Wall Street player to collapse, a private litigant says evidence shows that the firm’s executives may have pocketed revenues that should have gone to investors to offset losses when complex mortgage securities soured.”[1]  David Skeel, a law instructor at the University of Pennsylvania, remarked, “It’s consistent with what many people were worried about during the crisis, that different rules would be applied to different players. It goes to the whole perception that Wall Street was taken care of, and Main Street was not.”[2]

Elliot Spitzer, the Attorney General of New York, was preparing to go after some big bankers until he stopped when a lawyer at the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) told him to back off because the department would be moving against the bankers. However, it did no such thing; the DOJ would not in fact "move" against the bankers. So it is suspicious; the lie may have been fabricated in Washington, D.C. to protect the bankers. If so, elected representatives including the president who had received sizable campaign contributions from the bankers themselves or their banks would be prime suspects. To suggest that an elected official would not protect a major contributor is like asking water to go up hill.  The subterfuge used by the DOJ at the time was that if the department went after the bankers, the banks themselves, which were too big to fail without taking the financial sector and even the economy with them, would become too unstable.
Incredibly, not only did the bankers not get punished; the banks got bailouts, which the bankers could use to pay themselves bonuses! This included bonuses at Goldman Sachs for selling "crap" (i.e., the subprime-mortgage-based bonds) to even good clients and of course lying about how solid the bonds actually were. 

Bank regulators, who can be "captured" by regulatees not only due to reliance on information from them, but also political pressure from the regulatees' political protectors in Congress and the White House, may have played a role too. According to The New York Times, bank regulators referred 1,837 cases to the Justice Department in 1995. In 2007-2010, an average of only 72 a year was referred for criminal prosecution.  “The Office of Thrift Supervision was in a particularly good position to help guide possible prosecutions.” From the summer of 2007 to the end of 2008, O.T.S.-overseen banks with $355 billion in assets failed. The thrift supervisor, however, did not refer a single case to the Justice Department between 2000 and 2010. The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, a unit of the Treasury Department, referred only three in that decade.[3]

The relationship between the head of Thrift Supervision and the CEO of Countrywide is particularly revealing.  In March 2007, Countrywide was regulated exclusively by the regulatory agency. That agency was overseen at the time by John M. Reich, a former banker and Senate staff member appointed in 2005 by President George W. Bush. Reich was on all for deregulation. Robert Gnaizda, a former general counsel at the Greenlining Institute, a nonprofit consumer organization in Oakland, Calif., said he had spoken often with Reich about Countrywide’s reckless lending. Gnaizda says that when he suggested to Reich how he could build a case against Mozilo, the CEO of Countrywide, Reich “was uninterested. He told me he was a good friend of Mozilo’s.”[4] Reich subsequently refuted that the two were friends. “I met with Mr. Mozilo only a few times," Reich insisted, "always in a business environment, and any insinuation of a personal friendship is simply false.”[5] Even a few business meetings can be sufficient and the same ideology can be sufficient, however, to bend the ear of a regulator. Besides, Reich had reason after the financial crisis to deny any friendship with a man largely discredited due to the mortgage-producing antics at Countrywide. Mozilo’s flush fingers may have stretched as far as the chairman of the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission, Phil Angelides. The New York Times reported in 2011 that he had told two deputies that Mozilo and Countrywide were off limits, though Angelides subsequently denied having made the statement. Instead, he pointed instead to the Republican opposition to hearings on Countrywide in Congress.

I suspect that whether of the deregulation crowd or Democratic, both parties, being of part and parcel of the establishment, had by the financial crisis of 2008 become too close to the vested interests on Wall Street to effectively regulate its banks and bankers, and thus to be in a position to investigate cases of regulatory failure. In other words, when the necessary relationship between financiers and regulators breaks down, accountability does as well. Without the regulators and DOJ being able to constrain excessive greed by holding the people in the financial sector accountable, continued vulnerability to the financial system collapsing as it almost did in September, 2008 can be expected even if it is ignored.  

1. Gretchen Morgenson and Louise Story, “In Financial Crisis, No Prosecutions of Top Figures,” The New York Times, April 14, 2011.
2. Ibid.
3. Ibid.
4. Ibid.
5. Ibid.

Wednesday, May 1, 2019

The Case for a Presiding President in Russia

On December 31, 2010, a Russian judge sentenced Mikhail Khodorkovsky, the Russian tycoon who had been imprisoned in 2003 after defying Vladimir Putin, to an additional six years in prison. According to The New York Times, "It was a politically tinged decision that undermined President Dmitri Medvodev."[1] Leonid Goman of the Right Cause Party in Russia agreed. "It was obviously a political, not a judicial, decision." He went on to say that in general terms, "corruption is endemic, government power is often abused and senior politicians are rarely, if ever, held accountable for misdeeds."[2]  Clearly, Prime Minister Putin was still very much in control in Russia.  His message was that wealthy businessmen should not interfere in Russian politics. What a contrast to American politics, especially after the U.S. Supreme Court's Citizens United case!  Khodorkovsky was at one time the richest person in Russia, having been one of the oligarchs who bought government assets at bargain prices after the fall of the USSR, but he financed opposition parties in a political system that was anything but democratic.

Analysis:

This case points to the importance of separating a judiciary from executive and legislative branches of government, as in the E.U. and U.S. The fragile nature of a judiciary's credibility can be of dangerous ground even when the branches are separated. But in Russia technically under President Medvodev in 2010, a court doing the bidding of a powerful prime minister (in name only) contributes to the demotion of the credibility of the country's judiciary. Ultimately, the president of a country is charged with presiding over its system of government with an eye towards protecting it as a going concern.  

For example, U.S. President Andrew Jackson in the early 1830's looked out for the viability of the country's federal system by pushing Congress back on its tariff that hurt South Carolina and pushing the latter to repeal its Acts by which federal law could be nullified. He also vetoed a bill that, if enacted, would have allowed Congress to appropriate money for what was really a state road in Missouri. The President's focus was on maintaining the balance between the federal level and that of the member-states that is so important to maintaining a viable federal system in the long term. 

In the case of Russia, the problem concerning the political use of the court was that neither the president nor prime minister were interested in safeguarding the judiciary's long-term viability, for they prostituted it for political expediency. I submit, moreover, that most governments have lacked a presiding president, by which I mean a president who is primarily fixated on maintaining the continued viability of the system of government, including its credibility. It is too easy for voters to elect partisans who are more focused on their respective ideological agendas than putting the system itself first. Similarly, it is too easy for dictators to use all branches of government to consolidate more power for themselves or their party rather than to protect the viability of the branches, including how they are related, rather than to be primarily oriented to presiding over the system as a whole. 

See related essay: "On the Eclipse of Russian Federalism: Implications for the E.U."

1. Clifford Levy, "Russia Extends Prison Sentence of Tycoon 6 Years,” The New York Times, December 31, 2010, p. A1.
2. Ibid. 

Tuesday, April 30, 2019

Glimpsing behind the Curtain: Vice President Lyndon Johnson and the Kennedy Assassination

Robert Ross interviewed Lyndon Johnson’s mistress, Madeleine Duncan Brown what Ross titled, “The Clint Murchison Meeting in Dallas November 21, 1963.” The interview took place sometime before her death on June 22, 2002. The content is revealing, and she comes across as very credible as it is obvious she still had feelings even then for the late president. She also had a credible motive for opening up to the American people. So in watching the interview, I did not view it as just another conspiracy theory; I paid attention. Sometimes the truth finally emerges in plain sight, rather than through complicated theories as in Oliver Stone’s film, JFK (1991). The most revealing facts to emerge from the interview are that Jack Ruby, who killed Oswald just two days after the assassination, had been at the meeting at Murchison’s mansion on the night before the assassination, and that LBJ told Madeleine while leaving Murchison’s house after the meeting, “After tomorrow, those SOB’s will never embarrass me again.” That the official narrative from the Warren Commission would still carry weight as the default account at least in the first two decades of the next century astounded me. At the very least, all of Madeleine’s knowledge of the players should have caused at least a tremor when the interview was made public. The status quo has that much inertia. Even so, the American public can gleam from Brown’s account just how different the reality of the power-brokers in (and outside of) the U.S. Government can be from what the public knows. Unfortunately, the patina or gloss even of acting can have incredible staying-power even in the face of the facts revealed. Members of the political elite and their companions may want to protect their legacies in old age, or want the freedom of conscience that comes from the impunity that can only come with death. The resulting piecemeal facts must justify themselves, however, whereas the long-standing official version often has the benefits of not only protective power and entrenchment that comes with having been the default for so long, but also a coherent (i.e., contrived) narrative.  

Madeleine had met LBJ in 1948. By her reckoning, she and Lyndon had a “wonderful relationship.” Johnson fathered Madeleine’s son, Steve Brown, who had died of cancer by the time of the interview. In spite of having cancer, Steve had sued to get part of Johnson’s estate. Madeleine was hurt by the way the power structure in Texas had handled Steve by preventing him from appearing in court. “I probably would never have opened my mouth, but the way they handled my son. They can’t take anything from me now. The public needs to know.” Essentially, she says in the interview that the assassination of Kennedy was the result of a domestic plot that been planned since the 1960 Dem Convention.

Joe Kennedy and H. L Hunt met three days before the convention and they cut a deal: Johnson would be the VP. At the time, Hunt told Madeleine, “We may have lost a battle but we’re going to win the war.” On the day of the assassination, he would tell her, “We won the war.” Madeleine concluded the assassination was “a political crime for political power.” H.L. Hunt, the richest man in the world at the time, and others “mapped a plot to get rid of John Kennedy” from just after the convention. The 8-f group included oil men such as Clint Murchison and Hunt, Texas politicians such as John Connally, and even occasionally J. Edgar Hoover.


Meeting the night before the assassination at Clint Murchison’s house on Nov 21, 1963 were Lyndon Johnson, Edgar Hoover, John McCloy, H.L. Hunt (who had had flyers “Wanted for Treason: John F. Kennedy” passed out in downtown Dallas), John Currington, George Brown, Richard Nixon, Amen J. Carter, Jr, Texas Gov. John Connally, Earle Cabell (mayor of Dallas, whose brother Kennedy had fired after the botched Bay of Pigs invasion), W. O. Bankston, Clint Peoples, Bill Dicker (sheriff of Dallas county), Cliff Carter, Malcom Wallace, and, representing the mafia, Carlos Marchellas, Joe Civilla, and Jack Ruby (an old buddy, Madeleine remarks). I submit that the mafia had a motive to kill the president whose brother Robert had turned the U.S. Department of Justice on the mob, including very mobster in Chicago, Sam Giancana, who is said to have put Illinois over the top in voting for Kennedy. It is particularly relevant, therefore, that Ruby, who would later he killed Oswald out of anger for assassinating the president, was at a meeting with such notable insiders on the night before the assassination. Also, the inclusion of the FBI and the sheriff of Dallas County fit with the obvious need to cover-up the crime. That Richard Nixon, who had lost the 1960 election to Kennedy—unfairly according to the man known as “tricky Dick”—would be in a meeting with Johnson supporters should also raise some eyeballs; it would make sense, however, if the Democrats wanted assurances that the other party would not try to uncover the plot. It is therefore significant that Nixon was already in town; he and Johnson had met two days earlier.

At any rate, the social party at the mansion, for which Madeleine had been invited, broke up at 11 p.m. when the Vice President arrived. He and others went into a conference room. Jack Ruby brought a call-girl, Shirley, to the meeting. When Johnson came out of the meeting at its conclusion, he told Madeleine: “After tomorrow, those SOB’s [i.e. sons of bitches] will never embarrass me again.” Johnson was angry. “The Irish mafia, I think,” Madeleine says in the interview when Ross asks her whom Johnson was referring to. However, in her book written five years earlier, Madeleine wrote that Johnson had told her, “After tomorrow, those goddamned Kennedy’s will never embarrass me again.”[1] Because she looks like her mind is going astray at that point in the interview—she would, after all, die soon—I suspect she confused Lyndon’s antipathy at the Irish mob with his loathing of the two Kennedy brothers. 


Even if Johnson didn’t get along with a mobster, his frustrating relationship with the Kennedy brothers in the White House is well documented. Regardless of whomever he was angry at, that Lyndon Johnson knew that something would be very different for him on the next day—the day of the assassination—suggests that he knew of it beforehand. In fact, that he made such a statement with such strident certainty just after the meeting suggests to me that its purpose had been to decide on whether to go ahead with the plan. If indeed Lyndon Johnson had at the very least been aware of the assassination beforehand, the way in which he publicly reacted after it can be seen in a different light—as being acted out rather than authentic. By implication, the American people had no clue as to what was actually going on behind the scenes. The sheer difference ought to be of concern from the standpoint of democracy, because the sheer degree of acting can be used on an ongoing basis to hoodwink the electorate.

People on the periphery of the plotting group were in an interesting predicament, being let into at least some of the inside information and yet not truly part of the group. Hence they could be expected to share at least one of their points of reference with the public and thus feel guilty enough to speak, or finally turn on the insiders by divulging the tidbits of information even in the face of a seemingly overwhelming public narrative. Clint Murchison’s secretary, for instance, committed suicide days after the assassination. Even though Madeleine still had feelings for Johnson (i.e., they had not ended on a bad note), she was convinced that he had been in on the assassination and yet she said nothing of this publicly until she was old, after her sons had died so she had nothing to lose. For one thing, she says in the interview that if Kennedy had not been assassinated when he was, Johnson would have faced “serious political problems when he returned to Washington.” He had been involved in the Billy Sol Estas and the Billy Baker scandals, and Kennedy was already looking for another VP candidate for 1964, according to Kennedy’s secretary, Evelyn Lincoln.[2] At the time of the assassination, a U.S. House committee was planning to indict Johnson. A man, who would later be shot, was going to testify that Johnson had taken kick-backs from agricultural programs. When Lyndon was president, he kept the Vietnam War going on for so long because he was getting kickbacks on military contracts to his business friends.

Johnson’s real mentality, however, went deeper than corruption. According to Madeleine, Malcolm “Mac” Wallace was Johnson’s hit-man. In a letter to the Department of Justice in 1984, Douglas Caddy, the lawyer for Billie Sol Estes, claimed to have evidence that Johnson order hits on eight men, including Kennedy.[3] Johnson “had no qualm about having someone killed,” the still-smitten Madeleine says in the interview. “Whatever it takes to get a job done,” she says of Lyndon’s mentality. She agrees with Ross in his conclusion that Johnson must have thought the end justified the means. Madeleine points out that Johnson even had an innocent woman who had seen Madeleine and Johnson together in a hallway killed. Even just to conceive that a U.S. president had a hit man is difficult; to a public kept largely in the dark, such a thing—and that the American electorate voted for a mafia-like man in 1964—must seem inconceivable, or else fiction, like the series, House of Cards. Hence the vulnerability lodged in American democracy wherein the electorate is left with mere superficial or artificial perceptions of the candidates and office-holders remains largely hidden from view.

All of the above hitherto hidden from view does not even count the stealth role of corporations in influencing Congress, the President, and even the regulatory agencies that regulate the specific corporations or industries. The relationship can indeed be quite cozy in spite of the conflicts of interest that should be obvious. The allowance of “dark money” contributions to political campaigns affirmed by the U.S. Supreme Court in its Citizens United case is just one indication of how the real relationship between business and government in the U.S. can be deliberately hidden from plain view, and especially this disinfectant effect of sunlight. If sunlight is essential for the popular sovereign (i.e., the People) to hold its government officials accountable, then representative democracy in the U.S. is seriously flawed. To get caught up in debating who shot Kennedy may be just what the political elite wants because not only such myopic investigations tend to be premised on the Warren Commission’s report as the default narrative to be disproven, but also the obsession of one historical event comes at the expense of uncovering the true nature of the current office-holders in government and the real relationship between business and government.


[2] James Hepburn, Farewell America: The Plot to Kill JFK (Penmarin Books: 2002).
[3] Ibid.

Saturday, April 27, 2019

Eight Good Behaviors of Managers: Googled by Google

In early 2009 at Google, "statisticians . . . embarked on a plan code-named Project Oxygen. The 'people analytics' teams at the company produced what might be called the Eight Habits of Highly Effective Google Managers. 'My first reaction was, that’s it?' says Laszlo Bock, Google’s vice president . . .  for human resources. 'The starting point was that our best managers have teams that perform better, are retained better, are happier — they do everything better,' Mr. Bock says. 'So the biggest controllable factor that we could see was the quality of the manager, and how they sort of made things happen. The question we then asked was: What if every manager was that good? And then you start saying: Well, what makes them that good? And how do you do it?' He tells the story of one manager whose employees seemed to despise him. He was driving them too hard. They found him bossy, arrogant, political, secretive. They wanted to quit his team. 'He’s brilliant, but he did everything wrong when it came to leading a team,' Mr. Bock recalls. Because of that heavy hand, this manager was denied a promotion he wanted, and was told that his style was the reason. But Google gave him one-on-one coaching — the company has coaches on staff, rather than hiring from the outside. Six months later, team members were grudgingly acknowledging in surveys that the manager had improved." (1)

Analysis:

"What if every manager were good?" sounds a lot like "What is everyone were above average?" I suppose there will always be the proficient and lacking in any profession. Even then, some organizations would be better managed that others. Corporate culture has a bearing on such differences, even among supervisors. For example, more than one American company probably has a culture in which supervisors view training as the way to correct an employee's bad attitude toward customers. This sense of "bad" is different than "bad" as in incompetent, and even in this sense training may not be sufficient.

For instance, once at a grocery store at night I encountered both a cashier and the customer-service person who did not know how to calculate a "rain check." I was stunned that when I pointed out the most basis of mistake, the two people had blank stares. I politely told them I had to go; I had realized that a transaction would not be likely that evening. The next day, I spoke with the "front line" supervisor, who agreed with me that the incompetence had been "off the charts," and yet she said that during a few hours in the evening, that customer-service employee was in charge in the cashier area. The manager could not do anything about it. Clearly, the management of the store was bad in terms of managerial competence. In fact, as past experience at Walmart stores taught me, incompetence can be so bad, so far removed from that which is customary and thus expected, that horrendous incompetence may itself be unethical. Typically, unethical retail conduct is limited to attitude and related bad conduct toward customers. 

To get good managers, including supervisors, we must consider in what sense good. Good-hearted? Good as in having mastered managerial skills?  Good as in having a good style that fits the particular corporate culture? The question of what makes a manager good hinges on what is meant by "good." Of course, all of these senses of good are important, and not even incompetence can necessarily be cured with training. 

In the case of the bossy and arrogant manager at Google, I contend that what was "bad" was not limited to or sourced in his style; rather, the problem was his personality, which transcends style. Arrogance, for example, is a basic attitude rather than a style. It is no surprise that "coaching" (a misnomer or bad analogy outside of sports) did not turn the guy around. Perhaps the guy needed therapy or counseling. That Google would reduce a "bad" personality to a leadership style and prescribe "coaching" rather than a therapist is no accident.

It is commonly taught in business schools and believed in business settings that the science of management is applicable for virtually any business in any industry. In fact, one can theoretically manage a "team" (another misnomer from sports being used out of context) without having any skill or knowledge particular to the product.  The idea, in short, is that anything --and virtually anyone (certainly anyone who has been hired!) be managed by being (re-)trained. Just as it is assumed that a person with a Masters in Business Administration (MBA) can manage organizations in virtually any industry (i.e., without necessarily knowing much about the product coming in or even well into the job of managing), having a bad (in any sense) employee re-trained is often the default route. 

It is often assumed, for instance, that training and even re-training can be efficacious with anyone. From my observations of the cashier and the supervisor on duty in the grocery store, I would hope that the store manager would consider that some people, even hired ones!, may not be educated or intelligent enough to comprehend and apply the re-training. It is as if managers conveniently assume that their company's hiring process is so good that training should be all that is necessary for any employee. Alternatively, a short-sighted mentality, especially concerning money, may be behind the view of training as a cure-all, for to fire and re-hire is, or should be, a considerable process. 

So, what is actually a psychological problem is thus transmuted into managerial terms such as "style" in need of "coaching." Personality, in other words, is reduced to the extent to which it fits within management. Moreover, reducing managing to behaviors, as if that which is inside the manager is a black box, is to ignore that which separates the mice from the men as managers in terms of getting along with others (i.e., "good" as interpersonal relations), not having a trivial or short-sighted lack of perspective. Improving a manager's "style" by trying to change (manipulate?) her behavior is apt to be insufficient. It is like paddling a row boat without moving the anchor; the boat isn't going to move very far. The anchor must move too, and, well, there are limits to what management, and especially retraining, can do in that respect. Often time in badly managed businesses, the hiring process is flawed such that bad (in any sense) people get in, whether as managers, supervisors or employees.

With this in mind, I turn now to critique the "Eight Good Behaviors" that the good people at Google recommend.
  • Be a good coach. Included: provide specific feedback without being too negative and "present" solutions to problems. But isn't this just management?  I don't see much substance in the term transferred from sports(i.e., what coaches actually do).
  • Empower your team and don't micromanage. Freedom vs. advice. Challenge the "team" with "big" problems. This sounds like something written by a "team" of school teachers to their young studentsEmpower is a faddish politically-correct term that is rarely adequately defined. With regard to micromanaging, every micro-manager I have encountered has had control issues--meaning psychological problems involving or impacting personality and interpersonal conduct (not rooted in conduct, or style!).
  • Express interest in team members' success and personal well-being. Get to know about their lives outside of work and make new team members feel welcome. Helping new people to feel welcome is laudable; it is perhaps the area where a manager can truly be most human. Success, howeveris a vague term implying an ending (e.g., Did you succeed in getting the kids to sleep last night?), whereas business typically is ongoing and thus not like a race or contest after which contestants can know if they won. Furthermore, when used more broadly than in regard to a specific project or plan, success is too vague. With regard to getting to know things about subordinates outside of work, including their personal well-being, some subordinates may feel pressured to say more than they would like, given the power differential. Also, the "authentic" questions may come with a hidden agenda--namely, to manipulate the subordinates so they will want to stay at the company and be more productive. 
  • Don't be a sissy: Be productive and results-oriented.  Focus on the "team" setting achievement goals and priorities.  We are back to elementary-school language (e.g., sissy) and to what is essentially management itself (producing results, not visions). A business is a results-oriented enterprise.  A focus "on what employees want the team to achieve" belies a manager's true intention to set goals for his or her subordinates so they will pay more attention to results and thus be more productive. Having "the team" set its own goals and priorities can itself be understood as a motivating tool as long as the goals and priorities are approved by the manager. The patina of democracy or decentralized decision-making is often a manipulative sham designed to get more production.
  • Be a good communicator and listen to the team. Two-way communication. "Hold all-hands meetings and be straightforward" in communicating . . . Encourage open dialogue and listen." All-hands? At any rate, should we really be encouraging managers to have more meetings?  Being straightforward is laudable, however, as is open dialogue. The question is perhaps whether this is even possible where managers view their subordinates as lower. In other words, can there be straightforward dialogue where there is a power relation between boss and employee?
  • Help your employees with career development. Here too, the difficult matter of being able to be straightforward is relevant, given how organizational politics (i.e. collusion or friendship) and a manager's own career interests can all too easily relate to others' career development, possibly resulting in problems for the friend or ally once he or she has been elevated to more difficult tasks.
  • Have a clear vision and strategy for the firm even in the midst of turmoil. Involve the team in setting the vision.  Grouping together strategy and vision ignores the vital distinction between management and leadership. My dissertation presents a model by which integrity (i.e., ethical principles) can moderate between the interests of strategic management and leadership vision. The latter is not the same as long-term strategy; rather, vision is an ideal, for which strategy is a means to. The leadership vision of large companies like Google includes the company's place or role at a societal level, such that the vision extends to the societal level. Hence the vision is set at the top, typically by the CEO and perhaps even the chairman of the board, so the notion that a "team" lower down sets the vision is simply wrong; it is a consequence of obfuscating management and leadership, an epidemic in American business. It also follows that vision is not the same as long-term strategic goals; this conflation is also a result of fusing management and leadership. Strategic leadership has two main components, which are distinct. In fact, they can be in tension. Reconciling a credible societal vision with pressing strategic interests can be difficult because upholding the integrity of a vision can involve short- and medium-term costs that are at odds with budgets ensuing from corporate strategy. Google's grouping of vision and strategy ignores this tension. Just in using the term "vision," Google is using yet another vague analogy that has been a fad since the 1980's. How does a vision differ from coming up with a goal? Has anyone in the study of leadership defined vision?  Regarding faddish words used as weak analogies, people can use them without knowing what they mean! Lastly, the use of the word turmoil, as if it were only occasional rather than the typical condition of the business environment, over-dramatizes the need for someone at the helm. Even a turbulent business environment pales in comparison with havoc in and following the protests in the Middle East and the Japanese earthquake in 2011. Lest it be assumed that turmoil has increased over the decades, plenty of oil refiners and producers were going out of business amid the destructive competition of the 1860's. This was Rockefeller's rationale for creating a refining monopoly--a justification he used to act in contradiction to even his own vision of himself as a Christian "helping" competitors from going under. Turbulence can be used an excuse.
  • Have key technical skills so you can help advise the team. Work side by side with your subordinates when and understand the work they are doing. This principle, or "habit," challenges the notion that a person can learn management skills and apply them to virtually any business--knowledge of how to make the particular product being unnecessary.  I suspect this is an American view of management. The Japanese have traditionally hired managers from the factory floor precisely because they are familiar with the technical skills being used to make the particular products. Even so, Japan has not been without cases of horrendously incompetent management. A good manager, I contend, is one who is already proficient with most of the tasks of his or her subordinates and can therefore help out when needed.  So it would appear that Google got one right.

1. Adam Bryant, "Google's Quest to Build a Better Boss," The New York Times, March 12, 2011.

Friday, April 26, 2019

Getting More For Doing Less: Bank Board Directors

Executive compensation is an art rather than a science. It is not as if numbers are fed into a computer and the correct compensation pops out. More discretion is involved than meets the eye. “Since the financial crisis,” The New York Times reported in 2013, “compensation for the directors of [America’s] biggest banks has continued to rise even as the banks themselves, facing difficult markets and regulatory pressures, are reining in bonuses and pay.” [1] Just five years after the financial crisis, it is interesting how the banks' respective managements decided to spend the TARP money from Congress and even more money from the Federal Reserve Bank. Also of note, board and upper management compensations seemed to be going in different directions in spite of both being presumably tied to the same firm performance. Even a performance-incentive approach tied to firm-performance can accommodate a lot of latitude, such that banks differ in how much they pay their respective boards. The discretion permits inside collusion and even outlandish demands by "celebrity" members whose advice does not necessarily come up to celebrity status.  
At $488,709 in 2011, Goldman Sachs had the highest director-pay of any American bank. Some of the bank’s 13 directors made more than $500,000 because they had extra board responsibilities. As the directors were paid in stock, 2012 promised to be an even better year for the board members. Compensation experts have stated that banks must pay premium dollar to pay such figures for what is essentially part-time work in order to get the best advice. However, JPMorgan, the largest American bank, gave its directors “only” an average of $278,194 in 2011. Bank of America paid its directors $275,000 each. Equilar reported that the average compensation for a director at one of the six largest American banks in 2011 was $328,655. This compares with $232,142 at almost 500 publicly-traded companies, according to Spencer Stuart, in spite of the fact that regulations had narrowed the responsibilities of bank boards.
One would think that compensation would reflect changes in the number of tasks even more than macro indicators of bank performance. “I get you have to pay up for sophisticated board, but what is that complexity worth?” said Timothy M. Ghriskey, co-founder of the Solaris Group, a financial services shareholder that voted in 2011 to reject a pay plan for top executives at Citigroup. “Does it take $200,000 or $500,000? The discrepancy between a board like JPMorgan and Goldman is confusing.”[2] I submit that it is confusing only from a rationalistic standpoint. 
The differential indicates that the matter is far more subjective than meets the eye. Collusion between upper management and its board may be happening. So when a compensation expert claims that a certain level is necessary, the claim can be questioned rather than taken at face value. In fact, the false-necessity may be a subterfuge used by insiders seeking to enrich each other. You scratch my back, and I’ll scratch yours. The dispersed stockholders are left with less.
In short, it can be doubted whether the director compensation levels at banks are necessary or even in the stockholders’ interest. The excess probably reflects the difficulty facing stockholders in holding the insiders accountable. Accordingly, one consequence of corporate governance reform may be reining in the pay for what is really a part-time job with fewer and fewer responsibilities. If very wealthy or renown board members demand a premium, it is not justified in terms of corporate governance unless the advice is more valuable. 

See Essays on the Financial Crisis: Systemic Greed and Arrogant Stupidity, available at Amazon.

1. Susanne Craig, “At Banks, Board Pay Soars Amid Cutbacks,” The New York Times, April 1, 2013.
2. Ibid.

Saturday, April 20, 2019

Too Big To Fail: The U.S. Is Still at Risk

On March 20, 2013, more than two years after the Dodd-Frank financial reform legislation had become law, Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke made it clear that the problem of too-big-to-fail banks had not been solved. “Too Big To Fail is not solved and gone,” he said in a press conference. “It’s still here.”[1] That is, providing an orderly liquidation process for bankrupt banks would be insufficient in keeping the U.S. economy free of vulnerability from even one of the biggest banks taking down the financial sector merely by going bankrupt. Congress should not have missed or minimized this point while working on the Dodd-Frank Act. The self-interested power of Wall Street in Washington and the need of campaign funds in Congress coalesced to dilute the law in spite of the detriment to the public good.
Suggesting that more legislation might be needed, Bernanke said, “Too Big To Fail was a major source of the crisis . . . and we will not have successfully responded to the crisis if we do not address that successfully.”[2] More would be needed to rid the U.S. economy of the threat of banks too big to fail. If holding more capital does not make the big banks safer, “we will have to take additional steps.” This, he said, “is important.” Yet somehow his voice was not adequately heard. Other voices were louder on Capitol Hill.
Meanwhile, Wall Street banks faced little downside. Because the mammoth size of big banks such as Citibank and Bank of America makes their failure a threat to the viability of the financial system and even the overall economy, such size is an advantage to the banks because the bankers can reasonably bet that the U.S. Government would have to bail them out even if they face financial ruin by having taken on too much risk as the economy sours. The sense of invincibility, plus lower borrowing costs, could lead big banks to not only stay big (or even get larger!), but also take bigger risks. Bankers at such banks may even feel free to commit fraud because U.S. Attorney General Eric Holder admitted in 2013 that large banks were nearly immune from government prosecution for crimes, given the risks to the economy from the failure of a convicted bank. What about the fraudulent bankers who sold "crap" while claiming the mortgage-based bonds were sturdy? In short, the risk taken on by a big bank could easily outstrip even the additional capital requirements in the Dodd-Frank Act.
Even apart from reckless banking at the top of the U.S. financial system, if a sizable market in the U.S., such as many of the housing markets, were to collapse all at once, as in 2007-2008, many banks would be hit. The additional reserves would not likely buttress individual banks from the domino effect that was evinced, albeit halted, in September 2008. I submit that more money in reserves would have stopped the cascading momentum. While higher reserves might safeguard a bank while others are intact, the claim seems doubtful at best when the undercurrent from the momentum of many banks being hit at once or in a row is strong. It is no accident, I contend, that the Obama campaign of 2008 accepted $1 million from Goldman Sachs. 

1. Mark Gongloff, “Ben Bernanke: ‘I Agree With ElizabethWarren100 Percent’ On Too Big To Fail,” The Huffington Post, March 20, 2013.
2. Ibid.

Behind Corporate Loopholes: Wealth and Power

A company in the U.S. wants a tax loophole to apply. Starbucks, for example, wanted to be able to use the manufacturing deduction by stretching manufacturing to include the roasting of coffee beans. So in 2004 the company hired Michael Evans, a lobbyist at K&L Gates who had just a year before worked as a top lawyer on the U.S. Senate Finance Committee, which writes tax law. Evans was able to urge his former colleagues in the Senate to expand the definition of manufacturing to include roasting in a clause added to a 243-page tax bill called the American Jobs Creation Act.  As you might imagine, Starbucks was not the only company to get a tax break written into that law. By 2013, the manufacturing deduction had saved Starbucks $88 million that the company would otherwise have had to pay in corporate income tax. In 2012, corporate tax breaks and loopholes added $150 billion in lost revenue for the federal government, increasing the budget deficit by that amount.[1] Three lessons can be gleamed from the hidden corporate loopholes. 
First, the damage done to the U.S. debt by corporate loopholes has been significant. While dwarfed by the debt incurred to finance the Iraq and Afghanistan wars ($2.4 trillion added to the debt by 2013), $150 billion of lost revenue from corporate tax benefits for that period alone is nonetheless significant. 
Second, the “insider influence” itself violates the principles of openness and fairness, which are so esteemed in a democracy. The many points of access to influence legislation can be abused by legislators and lobbyists alike by their stealth dealings, sometimes literally in the middle of the night as a bill is about to be voted on. Ideally, the many points of access refers to the fact that various groups (and citizens) can reach legislators, not that the most powerful interests can abuse their ability to contact lawmakers for private gain (both to the interests and the lawmakers, thanks to political campaign contributions). In fact, for a lobbyist, including a corporate lobbyist, to have disproportionate influence on a bill to make it financially beneficial to the lobbyist's clients can be reckoned as a conflict of interest because even the information supplied is apt to be biased. The many points of access is meant to dilute the influence of the private interests that stand to benefit most from loopholes. 
Third, the contacts that lobbyists have in government from having worked there themselves can play a major role in the loopholes being granted and even in secret. Other self-interested interests cannot check the self-interested influence of the companies or industries that would gain most, so the private benefit gets away with eclipsing the public good. A law prohibiting former legislators and Congressional staffers from lobbying for at least ten years might make a dent in the inordinate insider influence of corporations in Congress. However, the influence of a Speaker of the House such as John Boehner, who became a corporate lobbyist after resigning from Congress, would hardly be diminished in his private influence, and thus earnings. Information that only insiders have sells. 
Like water, pent-up power naturally seeks its way around an obstruction with the objective of reaching an objective. The influence of wealth inexorably finds its way into the halls of power, especially in democracies as they have many points of access. This vulnerability is particularly great in cases in which candidates for public office must raise large sums of money to get elected. Asking the candidates to look the other way when a big donor is knocking at the door runs against human nature; even if laws prevent large donations, power finds its own way in the dark. The power both of candidates/lawmakers and corporations can be so massive that space itself bends toward mutual objectives. Perhaps the question is whether trying to bend space back only slightly is worth the time and energy of passing a law. Although removing the financial need of candidates for campaign funds (e.g., by public funding of advertising) could in theory take out part of the incentives on one side of the equation, corporations could tempt the incentive for private gain in other ways, such as with the promise of a lucrative job afterwards. 
In the end, the threat to the democracy is the inordinate power from the concentration of private wealth as in large corporations. The citizens are hardly focused in their collective use of their power, so the insiders in government tend to be influenced inordinately by the moneyed interest at the expense of the public good, the good of the whole.  

1 Ben Hallman and Chris Kirkham, “As Obama Confronts Corporate Tax Reform, Past Lessons Suggest Lobbyists Will Fight For Loopholes,” The Huffington Post, February 15, 2013.

See Institutional Conflicts of Interest, available at Amazon. Conflicts within the U.S. Government, in business, and between business and government are explored, as well as the very nature of an institutional conflict of interest. 

Thursday, April 18, 2019

Regulating Wall Street after a Financial Crisis

On Columbus Day 2011, The New York Times observed that the regulations known as the Volcker rule, “intended to limit trading when the bank's money is at risk, a sweet spot for banks, is seen as a centerpiece of the sprawling financial overhaul of the Dodd-Frank Act of 2010. In anticipation, the nation's biggest banks, like Goldman Sachs and Bank of America, have already shut down their stand-alone proprietary trading desks.”[1] Even so, the long and tortuous route by which any regulation is written was leaving its own mark in the sense that promising loopholes were finding their way into the rule. In other words, the regulated would have a disproportionate influence on the writing of the regulations. This conflict of interest is dangerous from the standpoint of not being vulnerable to another financial crisis in which the greed on Wall Street knows no bounds. 
Regulators were leaving room for “significant changes,” according to the Times. Wall Street was “lobbying furiously to tame the Volcker Rule, holding roughly 40 meetings with various regulators, warning that the changes will eat into profits at a difficult time for banks.” Those banks were undoubtedly threatening to charge more to their customers if the rule weren’t weakened. “In essence, the [rule] would upend the banking industry's lucrative, yet risky trading system, forcing powerhouse investment banks to resemble sleepier brokerage firms.” It is difficult to see Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs readily becoming mere market-makers and deposit and loan banks without a fight. To be sure, Lloyd Blankfein did insist that his bank was only a market maker when he testified before Sen. Levin’s Senate committee after the credit freeze of 2008.
At the time the Volcker Rule was being proposed, it was already apparent that there would be some wiggle-room for the banks. "Unfortunately, this initial proposal does not deliver on the promise of the Volcker Rule or the requirements of the statute," said Marcus Stanley, policy director of American for Financial Reform, an advocacy group. In the proposal, “a number of controversial exemptions emerged. While the regulation prevents big banks from placing bets on many stocks, corporate bonds and derivatives, it exempts trading in government bonds and foreign currencies. The proposal also provided a path for getting around the ban, for instance, when banks hedge against risk that comes from carrying out a customer's trade. Market-making and underwriting are excused, too, though the line is often fuzzy between these pure client activities and proprietary bets.” Lastly, the proposal would allow “banks to hedge against theoretical or ‘anticipatory’ risk, rather than just clear-and-present problems.” Armed with their lawyers and astute financial wizards, Wall Street banks could conceivably continue with business as usual.
Trading in government bonds and foreign currencies, and hedging even theoretical risk presumably with anything constitute an obstacle course that any Wall Street banker could run without breaking a sweat. With so much on the line and public scrutiny less potent at the regulatory stage, the financial-sector lobbyists could be expected to achieve just enough and then some. Once again, systemic risk would not be a factor, and history could repeat itself.

See: Skip Worden, Institutional Conflicts of Interests, available at Amazon.

1. Ben Protess, “Banking Industry Revamp Moves Step Closer to Law,” The New York Times, October 12, 2011.