Friday, July 19, 2024

Differentiating the European Council and Parliament: Meloni of Italy

At the federal level of the E.U., the European Council, like the Senate in the U.S., represents the states, whereas the European Parliament, like the U.S. House of Representatives, represents citizens—that’s right, E.U. citizens. The theory behind this difference is a modification of traditional federalism theory, wherein only the polities in a federation are represented at the federal level. In this traditional way of doing federalism, individuals, or citizens, belong only to the first level of political organization. Althusius’s Political Digest (1603) describes that theory, borrowing a lot from the example of the Holy Roman Empire. The advent of both polities and federal citizens being directly represented at a federal level was born out of compromise during the American Constitutional Convention in 1787. The E.U. replicated the structure, wherein the state governments and E.U. citizens (or legal residents) each have their own channel of access to affect federal law and policy on the federal level. For one of the two to cross over and eclipse the other in its own channel is suboptimal because both vantage points contribute to sound federal law in a way that enables them to protect their respective interests, which are not identical. It is thus not appropriate for a state government, including its governor or head of state, to direct members of Parliament how to vote on a given bill, whether their districts are within or outside of the state.

On July 18, 2024, Giorgia Meloni, the governor of the E.U. state of Italy, “ordered the 24 MEPs,” or members of Parliament of her state-level Fratelli d’Italia, or Brothers of Italy, group “to vote against the re-election of Ursula von der Leyen as president of the European Commission.”[1] I contend that those representatives were instead duty-bound to vote the interests of their respective voters rather than serve as an additional resource for the state government at the federal level, or else to vote along with the rest of the European Conservatives and Reformists Party in the Parliament, rather than as a state group representing the state’s government. This is admittedly a different perspective than that which both American and European media outlets have intentionally or unintentionally absorbed from the Euroskeptic ideology wherein the European Parliament is really even a legislative body and thus does not have its own parties (and interests).

From an American perspective, it would be like the governor of a state ordering representatives of the U.S. House of Representatives to vote a certain way, rather than in line with the wishes or interests of the constituents in the respective districts or the federal-level party recognized by the U.S. House.  The U.S. Senate is where the state governments are to exercise their authority at the federal level even though this line is more direct in the European Council because the heads of the state governments themselves sit in that chamber, rather than separately elected senators. Indeed, Meloni already had her chance to vote against Von der Leyen’s nomination in the European Council—Meloni abstained. For her to order members of Parliament to vote against the nominee essentially doubled Meloni’s, and thus her state government’s, role at the federal level. Not only is this excessive; it also eclipses the voice of the E.U. citizens in the districts of the MEPs who followed Meloni’s order. That is to say, the order upset the balance of inputs—that of the states and the E.U. citizens—feeding into the federal level.

Given the staying power of the principle of unanimity at the federal level as of 2024, the power of the state governments at the federal level was arguably too much anyway for the viability of the E.U.’s functioning at the federal level. Eclipsing the voice of the people by attempting to subordinate their directly elected representatives (even though by party) worsens the imbalance.

In his text, Federal Government, Kenneth Wheare describes a federal system as wheels within a wheel. All of those should be in balance for the system as a whole to function well. I disagree strongly with his claim that a balance of powers between the states and the federal institutions is not necessary. He claims that the state governments need only have one domain of authority that is autonomous of the federal government for the federal system to be viable, but such an imbalance would be tantamount to political consolidation rather than dual-sovereignty, wherein the states are not eclipsed by federal preemption and power. After nearly 250 years, the U.S. federal system was arguably much closer to consolidation than in that union’s first 50 years. After 30 years, the E.U. suffered from the opposite danger: too much state power, and thus a risk of dissolution. Although strong institutional safeguards to prevent eventual consolidation at the expense of viable federalism were advisable in the E.U., given the historical trajectory of the U.S. towards consolidation in an empire in which one size does not fit all, given the different cultures therein, too much of a role for the state governments at the federal level was itself a danger for the E.U. in 2024. The staying power of the principle of unanimity alone threatened to excessively encumber E.U. policy-making and law, and thus fuel Euroskeptic movements toward the dissolution of the union (which is neither a bloc nor an international organization). Furthermore, eclipsing the sacred relationship between the representatives in the Parliament and their respective constituencies, E.U. citizens, worsens the “democracy deficit.” Just as the U.S. House was originally intended as the democratic body at the federal level in the U.S., as U.S. senators were initially chosen by their respective state governments and the president by the Electoral College, the European Parliament can be seen as the sole repository of democracy in the European Union. A look at how the Commission’s president is nominated and elected without E.U. citizens voting on the question and the fact that the European Council represents the state governments rather than their respective peoples directly demonstrate the importance of the Parliament in terms of direct representative democracy at the federal level.

In short, the E.U. state governments should keep their paws off the European Parliament; the European Council and the Council of the E.U. is where state-level officials can affect federal policy and law at the federal level. If anything, the authority of the Parliament should have been strengthened in 2024 relative to the powers of the Commission and especially the European Council (and the Council of the E.U.). At the very least, all of the political groups in the Parliament should have been recognized at the federal level as political parties in themselves rather than as informal groups of state-level parties. In 2024, the drastic imbalance in the federal system in favor of the state governments, whose individual and collective interests are in theory and practice different than that of the E.U. both as a federal system and in terms of federal policy and law, was a major problem that did not need to be worsened by encroachments. From a federal perspective, the governor of the E.U. state of Italy was coloring outside the lines in seeking more influence at the federal level. Objecting to this does not suggest in the least that protections for the state governments against possible federal encroachment, as has happened in the U.S., should be disabled or torn down.

Thursday, July 18, 2024

Journalism Goes Only So Far in Empire-Scale Democracy

A news story only goes so far; only so much “digging” is possible against a pressing deadline. Moreover, we humans are not particularly good at “connecting the dots” when they are far afield. Through natural selection in an environment in which humans were prey as well as hunters, we are still “hard-wired” to privilege the immediate. So it takes more than a bit of effort to counter this natural predilection in order to make a truly informed judgment that takes into account the relevant tributaries. One such judgment concerns the impact of U.S. President Joe Biden’s age on his fitness to serve a second term.

I submit that after the presidential debate in June, 2024, the American media did not adequately distinguish the issue being how fit the president would be in the future, during a second term, from how he was at the time of the debate (and whether the issue was episodic or of a continuing and gradually worsening condition—the White House had a vested interest in promoting the former over the latter). Even in this respect, the human orientation to the immediate is evident. How the president did a few well-orchestrated appearances in the wake of the debate is relevant if the issue were episodic—one of a bad performance—and the press by in large accepted this paradigm at the expense of asking how the president would be in two or three years—the second term not beginning for six months! Whether the president would be fit in terms of old-age to serve a second term is also not the same as whether he could win the election, yet the media was satisfied to let the latter be the pivotal issue given the political interests of Democrats running for office. The issue concerning the president’s age was how he would be in two or three years, not whether he should immediately resign or whether he could win the election. Both in focusing on particular “performances” and on the political question of whether Biden could win the election, the media was enabling rather than countering the common propensity to privilege the immediacy over the eventual. This orientation to furnishing information to the voters is not conducive to good electoral judgment by any electorate.

Taking the issue to be the president’s likely future fitness to serve a second term, Americans’ horizon could have been deepened in at least two respects. That is, Americans could go beyond their media to consider two additional things.

First, with President Biden down with the “covid” virus, rather than looking for immediate symptoms, people could have recalled that Queen Elizabeth survived the illness itself only to die a year or so after it. After she had recovered from the illness itself, she admitted to two visitors that it had been bad, so it is reasonable to suppose that her death a year or so later came as a result. Given the long-term impact of the virus on organs such as the heart, it is possible that for the elderly who survive the onset of the virus, the life-threatening aspect may kick in a year or two later from a weakened heart muscle. If so, the implications for Biden being able to serve a complete second term should not be ignored or passed over in favor of looking for immediate symptoms. It bears remembering that President Wilson was severely impacted by at least one stroke during his second term, and the White House kept this from the American people. In 2024 just after the June debate, even members of the political elite were angry because Biden’s handlers had kept even just his decline a secret. Perhaps a few news stories on Wilson’s second term could have nudged the electorate in considering what Biden’s handlers might do during a second term.

Second, even in the midst of public discourse on President Biden’s health and age, the media, with the exception of one article by The Washington Post, did not mention that he had had two brain operations for aneurysms in 1988. Although he fully recovered, how or whether the surgeries themselves or the aneurysms could have a negative impact his elderly brain was worth asking following the debate. In short, rather than merely looking at the president’s immediate health, a longer, longitudinal perspective would have been useful, especially as the issue was the impact of old-age on the president’s brain in particular and the surgery had been on his brain.

As to why the media did not include these considerations, the focus on the immediate that is engrained in human nature served not only journalists under pressure to put out a story before a deadline, but also politicians whose political survival instinct to be elected (or re-elected). Whether President Biden could win came to include whether he would take the U.S. House down with him—meaning that the legislative chamber would continue to have a Republican majority. Subjecting Biden’s immediate covid symptoms to coverage and juxtapositioning his slightly increased lethargy with a triumphant Trump at the Republican Convention fit that narrative and the buttressing political interests of the moment. In contrast, whether the covid virus could leave its mark on the president not immediately, but in a year or two, such that he might be more likely to die in his second term did not fit and was thus ignored by journalists and the political elite alike. Whether from collusion or coincident interests, the impact was the same. Up against the human tendency to privilege the immediate and political interests hinging on the 2024 election, the question of whether the president could viably serve a full second term quietly dissipated. Did anyone notice?  I doubt it; the shift was so subtle, and of course in line with our human, all too human propensity to focus on the more immediate.

For the profound thinkers on democracy, a few broader tasks can be suggested to ponder. First, given the human propensity to focus on the immediate, do journalists and media companies have a responsibility to compensate by emphasizing longer-term factors that are relevant to an electorate’s judgment in an upcoming election? If so, should such responsibility be waived if viewers (or readers) simply do not want the less titillating material to be included in the news stories? Against pressure from advertisers, any such responsibility would likely be quickly flailed against the nearest wall without any hindrance from conscience. Second, like the six-year term of U.S. Senators, are there any other structural elements that could be added to the U.S. political system that would counter the hegemony of immediacy in preference to the long-term? Rather than extending the terms of senators even more, or extending the terms of any other elected representative at the federal level, how can the electoral process or system be altered in ways that provide more space for long-term considerations by an electorate? It may be that instituting maximum and not just minimum age qualifications would help, but such a quick fix ought not to relegate the value in analyzing systemic elements of the electoral and governmental systems in terms of whether they lean us toward the immediate. If so, could structural reforms be “invented” that tilt either or both systems to favor medium- and long-term considerations? That the U.S. debt had by 2024 increased to an astronomical figure of nearly $35 trillion—perhaps already a de facto default—suggests that the systems were aligned in favor of the human propensity to emphasize instant gratification over the long-term viability of a republic (or a republic of republics, as in the cases of the U.S. and E.U.).

Wednesday, July 17, 2024

On the European Commission Boycotting Hungary’s Presidency of the Council of the E.U.

Whereas just one presidency applies to the U.S. at the federal level, the E.U. has several. There is a president of the European Commission, a president of the European Parliament, a president of the European Council, and a president of the Council of the E.U., the latter being held by a state government on a six-month rotating basis. On July 1, 2024, the E.U. state of Hungary assumed that role. Because that state’s government had recently been found guilty by the E.U.’s top court, the E.C.J., of blocking federal law within the state, the matter of Hungary taking its turn in chairing the Council of the E.U. was controversial at the time. Because Viktor Orbán, governor of Hungary, used the insignia of the presidency of the Council in making unauthorized diplomatic trips to Russia and China on the war in Ukraine, the European Commission, the E.U. government’s executive branch, took the unusual decision to boycott Hungary’s presidency. Shortly thereafter, the E.U.'s parliament followed suit with a resolution condemning Orbán's diplomatic trip to Moscow. I contend that Orbán’s foray into diplomatic relations even as he was taking on a major role at the federal level presents good evidence for why foreign policy should be federalized in the E.U. as it has been in the U.S., and for the same reason.

At the Constitutional Convention in 1787 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, delegates felt the need to delegate foreign policy and diplomacy to the proposed federal executive branch out of concern that the states would be used, and torn apart from one another, by foreign states pursuing their interests at America’s expense. It went without saying that a state-level official could not represent the union abroad. Besides not being able to speak for the other states and the union itself, a governor conducting foreign policy both for the union and one’s own state would have to contend with a conflict of interest where the interests of the union diverge from that of the official’s state. All of these problems were obviated by having the states delegate foreign policy to the federal level with the states still retaining residual sovereignty. It bears stating that the thirteen states that exited the British Empire in 1776 were sovereign states until they delegated some of their respective sovereignty to the federal level of the union in 1789.

In 2024, in the midst of Russia’s continued invasion of Ukraine, the federal level of the E.U. was involved in foreign policy, and yet a governor of any state government could also take on a role in foreign policy as that was a shared competency (i.e., both federal and state levels). That the governor of Hungary, Viktor Orbán, used the official logo of the Hungarian presidency of the Council of the E.U. in his “peace mission” to Russia and China days after he had assumed the presidency for Hungary signaled or implied a federal foreign-policy role was troubling enough. That he publicly stated, “China is the only world power that has been clearly committed to peace since the beginning” of the war even though the E.U. had dismissed the “Chinese peace plan” for “making a selective interpretation of international law and blurring the line between the aggressor and the aggressed” was too much for the E.U.’s executive branch.[1] That Orbán met with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow, a person wanted by the ICC for war crimes against civilians in Ukraine, to “start a dialogue on the shortest road to peace” just days before Russia bombed a children’s hospital in Kyiv was also not missed by the Commission.[2]

As a result, the European Commission decided to boycott Hungary’s six-month presidency of the E.U. Council. In addition to going to Moscow and Beijing on peace missions, that Orbán had stated that he would use Hungary’s chairing of the Council to sideline the accession talks so to postpone statehood for Ukraine was likely another factor in the boycott. “In light of recent developments marking the start of the Hungarian Presidency, the President (Ursula von der Leyen) has decided that the European Commission will be represented at senior civil servant level only during informal meetings of the Council,” according to a spokesperson for the Commission.[3] The College visit to the Presidency also would not take place. 

Days after the Commission's boycott, the European Parliament passed a resolution condemning Orbán's diplomatic visit to Moscow. The resolution itself "stresses that during this visit, he did not represent the E.U., and considers the visit to be a blatant violation of the E.U.'s treaties and common foreign policy, including the principle of sincere cooperation; [and] underlines that the Hungarian Prime Minister cannot claim to represent the E.U. when violating common E.U. [foreign policy] positions."[4] That the governor of a state violated federal foreign policy in going abroad while president of a federal institution and two other federal institutions officially objected points to the serious need for E.U. reform concerning foreign policy in terms of the federal system. In other words, the federal system itself contained a fundamental problem in need of a solution.  

Essentially, Orbán was leveraging his temporary presidency of a federal governmental institution of the E.U. to conduct foreign policy at odds with the federal foreign policy against Russia and China. Even if he had been only been conducting bilateral diplomatic relations between his state and Russia and China, that his state government’s position would have conflicted with the E.U.’s position is problematic, for the belligerent foreign powers could have used Orbán’s state of Hungary to drive a wedge into the E.U. and thus weaken not only the defense of Ukraine, but also the E.U. itself as a federal union. Even just in terms of the union’s executive branch boycotting the presidency of the legislative Council of the E.U., the E.U. itself was weakened rather than unified at the federal level.

Most fundamentally, the state governments still had too much power relative to that of the union itself. Also, trying to conduct foreign policy at both the state and federal levels is just asking for trouble because they can work at cross-purposes and even confuse government officials of other countries. Russian officials, for instance, may not have known how much credence to give to Orban versus the condemnations by the Commission and the Parliament. 

Even by 2024, European integration had been tangibly realized in a federal union of states to the extent that one voice was needed on foreign policy, lest the E.U. compromise itself from within. Even though the economic domain had been the backbone of the E.U. coming out of the EC, it bears remembering that the European Coal and Steel Cooperative came out of the post-WWII need to keep an eye on Germany lest it remilitarize. A foreign-policy rationale is thus also baked into the E.U. as per at least one of the international European organizations that pre-existed the European Union. Put another way, the E.U. cannot be traced back only to the European Economic Community. Besides providing for smooth interstate commerce in a single market, peace in Europe is also a salient mission for the European Union, and in this regard being able to speak with one voice rather than divergent state and federal voices would be of great value were it operationalized rather than compromised.


1. Jorge Liboreiro, “European Commission Boycotts Hungarian Presidency over Orbán’s Trips to Moscow and Beijing,” Euronews, July 15, 2024.
2. Ibid.
3. Ibid.
4. P10_TA (2024)0003, “The Need for the E.U.’s Continuous Support for Ukraine,” 17 July 2024.