Showing posts with label U.S. Government. Show all posts
Showing posts with label U.S. Government. Show all posts

Thursday, January 10, 2019

Climate Change: An Outsider in Democracies

The U.S. House of Representatives was created in part as an outlet for the immediacy of a people’s passions; other governmental institutions at the federal level provide a check. The term of a House representative is only 2 years, whereas that of a U.S. senator is 6 years and that of the U.S. president is four. So presumably societal  or even global  problems requiring immediate action find pressing representation in the House, whereas the perspectives of U.S. senators and presidents, being limited to six and four years respectively, are not long-term-oriented enough for problems that could blow up in decades. To register in the crowded minds of House representatives, a long-term problem yet in need of immediate attention must trigger the immediate passions of the constituents unless the representatives value principled leadership (i.e., acting in the best interests of the constituents and the country). Yet passions demanding immediate action tend, I submit, to involve anger. Climate change is thus excluded, and the long-term forecasts do little to impress upon a people how urgent rectifying action really is. Even if the scientific reports of current conditions emphasize extant dramatic changes (not to mention future forecasts with disastrous implications for humanity generally and particular regions, immediate passion is not sufficiently stirred for the U.S. House at least to prioritize addressing the problem.
A report published in January, 2019 indicates that the world’s oceans were then already 40% warmer than a U.N. panel had projected in 2014.[1] Although the data was not yet in to be included in the report, 2018 was expected to the warmest on record for ocean temperatures.
Considering that the oceans had been providing “a critical buffer” in having “slowed the effects of climate change [in the atmosphere] by absorbing 93% of the heat trapped by the greenhouse gases” that were from human uses (presumably including the methane released as the permafrost melts), the reported acceleration of ocean warming should have sounded over the lands as a clarion call for immediate action.[2] The most important implication from the report is that the oceans would absorb far less of the extra heat from the atmosphere if the oceans’ temperatures get high enough, which likely would come sooner than projected, the atmosphere would then show more and more of the immediately noticeable increased heat in the atmosphere. Although losing much or all of the “absorption drainage” by virtue of the seas would likely register very starkly into immediate effect as people spend time in the atmosphere—and thus likely trigger immediate governmental action, awareness of the implication before that point is likely too indirect to register on the awareness of constituents.
Even though Thomas Jefferson and John Adams agreed in retirement—long after they had sparred like dogs—they agreed that a viable republic (and we could add climaterequires an educated and virtuous citizenry (as it elects the elected government officials in a representative democracy). So universities in the U.S., unlike the E.U. and Asian countries, require that students wanting to become a lawyer or physician first get a degree in another school of knowledge, such as in the Liberal Arts and Sciences. To be sure, such a broad education admittedly helps in being able to make inferences, such as that when the oceans cut back drastically in what the amount of the extra atmospheric heat they can absorb, the atmosphere will warm up rather quickly. Still this is not enough to result in a “wake-up call,” for the proportion of college-educated adults in a given population has not been high enough. In other words, too many voters are not likely to connect such dots and thus will only be motivated to urge immediate governmental or global action with enforcement powers when the atmosphere has gone into “hyperdrive” in terms of warming that can be dramatically felt. Pain, it seems, like anger, can register as an immediate passion of the people whose representatives in at least short-termed offices will be motivated to act upon.
In a general sense, even designing one governmental institution, such as the U.S. House of Representatives, to give immediate passions influence in government is not enough for problems such as climate change to be treated as priorities. The fault extends ultimately down to human nature—how our brains are hard-wired and socially conditioned—so it may be said that the design at least of the U.S. Government is faulty with respect to human nature. In the U.S., a culture wherein the instant gratification of consumerism and quarterly earnings reports are given undue influence at the expense of self-restraint and a longer-term perspective and motivation, a problem like climate change wherein the immediate baleful effects are mitigated by the oceans falls between the cracks. This, I contend, is a major flaw in that the constitutional design has a gaping hole into which problems that are dramatic primarily in the future fall. Both in business and government, systemic design should be redesigned to give due emphasis—and even more so as to counter both the short-term-oriented American culture and human nature—to problems whose immediate effects mask the disaster coming in the future. It is as if an earthquake were reported and yet officials in cities on a coast would not recognize the obvious implication that a tsunami could come so an alarm should sound immediately rather than when the gigantic waves could be seen.  



1 Lijing Cheng et al, “How Fast Are the Oceans Warming?Science 363 (no. 6423), January 11, 2019.
2. Kendra Pierre-Louis, “Ocean Warming Is Accelerating Faster Than Thought, New Research Finds,” The New York Times, January 10, 2019.

Tuesday, July 18, 2017

U.S. Senators: Falling Short in Representing their States

Like the European Council of the E.U., the U.S. Senate has polities rather than citizens as represented members. That is to say, in both cases, the states are represented. In the case of the E.U., the chief executives of the respective states represent them. In the U.S. case, the citizens of the states elect senators directly, who in turn are tasked with representing their respective states. From the standpoint of representing the polities, the E.U. case is tighter, for a U.S. senator is susceptible to the temptation to vote in the interests of the state’s citizens who voted rather than of the state itself. The two interests may overlap, but they are not identical, for citizens of a member-state may or may not be interested in protecting the prerogatives of the state (government). The Republican legislative responses to the Affordable Care Act (i.e., “Obamacare”) are a case in point.

Under the Act, state governments could expand their Medicaid programs to cover anyone with incomes less than 138% of the federal poverty level, with the federal government picking up the tab through 2018 and 90% thereafter. Even Republican-controlled state governments saw that the deal was in their fiscal interests even if it meant giving up some sovereignty in the domain of health-care to the federal government. Nevertheless, a Republican electorate could vote for one of its U.S. Senators based on the sentiment that poor people should not get “free money.” Behind this is a sort of “survival of the fittest” philosophy wherein the weak should not be propped up. Additionally, prejudice or even animosity towards the drudge of society could be in the mix. From a European standpoint, such a sentiment must seem rather odious, and foreign. In any case, the majority of a state’s voters may at some point vote contrary to their state government’s interests. Being selected by the voters rather than the government, who do you think a U.S. senator is going to pay attention to, other than institutional campaign-contributors, in deciding how to vote on whether to retain Obamacare?

On July 17, 2017, Sen. Mitch McConnell, the Republican majority leader in the U.S. Senate, announced that his second attempt to repeal and replace Obamacare had failed for lack of votes. Back in March, the Kansas legislature had voted to expand Medicaid. Nevertheless, Sen. Moran of that state said in July, “There are serious problems with Obamacare, and my goal remains what it has been for a long time: to repeal and replace it.”[1] In coming out against the proposed replacement, he said it “fails to repeal the Affordable Care Act or address health care’s rising costs.”[2] By omission, we can discern from his statement that he was not opposed to rescinding the expansion of Medicaid even though his own state’s government had approved it.

Because the states as polities are members of the U.S. Senate, I submit that a senator’s discretion should not extend to such a point that it goes against the will of his or her state’s government. Accordingly, a state government should be able to direct the state’s U.S. Senators to take particular positions. A senator’s discretion would come into play when a government is of mixed opinion. For instance, the legislative chambers may disagree, or the legislature and governor may differ on the state’s interest on a proposed piece of federal legislation. State governments could of course legislate which offices (e.g., governor) and legislative chambers would have a voice in directing the senators on particular legislative measures before the U.S. Senate. Without such a tie to a state’s government, a U.S. senator could undercut the state’s representation in the U.S. Senate with impunity. This may in part be why the states have lost so much governmental sovereignty to the federal institutions, thus unbalancing American federalism at the expense of its checks and balances in defense of liberty and justice for all.

For more on the U.S. Senate and the E.U. Council, see the book: Essays on Two Federal Empires




[1] Thomas Kaplan, “Health Care Overhaul Collapses as Two Republican Senators Defect,” The New York Times, July 17, 2017.
[2] Ibid.

Tuesday, January 24, 2017

On the U.S. Government’s Fiscal Imbalance: Federalism to the Rescue?

At the outset of the Trump administration in the U.S., real economic output was projected to grow at an annual rate of 1.9 percent over the next decade.[1] The new federal president was hoping his proposals of tax cuts and $1 trillion in additional infrastructure spending over a decade would bump up the annual growth to 4 percent. I submit, however, that just over 2 percent more in the growth rate would not alter the stark “budget reality” facing the new president and the American people.



The complete essay is at Essays on Two Federal Empires.




[1] Alan Rappeport, “Federal Debt Projected to Grow by Nearly $10 Trillion Over Next Decade,” The New York Times, January 24, 2017.

Tuesday, December 20, 2016

Snowden

If a picture is worth a thousand words, then how many words are moving pictures worth? Add in a script and you have actual words—potentially quite substantive words—grounding all that pictorial worth. Moving pictures, or movies for short, are capable of conveying substantial meaning to audiences. In the case of the film, Snowden (2016), the meaning is heavy in political theory. In particular, democratic theory. The film’s value lies in depicting how far short the U.S. Government has slipped from the theory, and, indeed, the People to which that government is in theory accountable.

The full essay is at "Snowden."