Wednesday, February 13, 2019

Decreasing Bank Size by Increasing Capital-Reserve Requirements: Plutocracy in Action?

Although the Dodd-Frank Financial Reform Act was passed in 2010 with some reforms, such as liquidity standards, stress tests, a consumer-protection bureau, and resolution plans, the emphasis on additional capital requirements (i.e., the SIFI surcharges) could be considered as weak because they may not be sufficient should another financial crisis trigger a shutdown in the commercial paperr market (i.e., banks lending to each other). A study by the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston found that even the additional capital requirements in Dodd-Frank would not have been enough for eight of the 26 banks with the largest capital loss during the financial crisis of 2008. As overvalued assets, such as subprime mortgage-backed derivatives, plummet in value, banks can burn through their capital reserves very quickly. A frenzy of short-sellers can quicken the downward cycle even more. This raises the question of whether additional capital resources would quickly be "burnt through" rather than being able to stand for long as a bulwark. The financial crisis showed the cascading effect that can quickly run through a banking sector as fear even between banks widens as one damaged bank impacts another, and another. 
With the $6.2 billion trading loss at JPMorgan Chase in the hindsight, Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio) and Sen. David Vitter (R-La) in the U.S. Senate proposed a bill that would require banks with more than $400 billion in assets to hold at least 15 percent of those assets in hard capital. The two senators meant this requirement to encourage the multi-trillion-dollar banks to split up into smaller banks. Although it had been argued that gigantic banks are necessary given the size of the loans wanted by the largest corporations, banks had of course been able to form syndicates to finance such mammoth deals. 
The Senate had recently voted 99-0 on a nonbinding resolution to end taxpayer subsidies to too-big-to-fail banks, so the U.S. Senate had Wall Street’s attention. Considering that the U.S. House of Representatives was working on legislation to deregulate derivatives, the chances that the U.S. Government would stand up to Wall Street even to the too-big-to-fail systemic risk were slim to nil. Indeed, the U.S. Department of Justice’s criminal division had been going easy in prosecuting the big banks for fraud out of fear that a conviction would cause a bank collapse (or because President Obama had received very large donations from Wall Street banks including notably Goldman Sachs).
The two senators’ strategy of going about breaking up the biggest banks indirectly by increasing their reserve requirements disproportionately didn't work, at least as of 2019. Advantages of size, including the human desire to empire-build (witness Dick Fuld at Lehman Brothers), could have been expected to outweigh the economic preference for a lower, more proportionate, reserve requirement. With anti-trust laws having been used to break up giants such as Standard Oil and ATT, the thought of breaking up the banks too big to fail even in the wake of the financial crisis was strangely viewed as radical and thus at odds with American incrementalism. The question was simply whether systemic risk should be added to monopoly (i.e., restraint of trade) as an additional rationale for breaking up huge concentrations of private property. This question could have been made explicit, rather than trying to manipulate the big banks to lose some weight.  
The approach of using disproportionately reserves can be critiqued on at least two grounds. First, should one or more of those banks decide to go with the 15% requirement rather than break up into smaller firms, even the additional capital might not be enough to protect a bank during a financial crisis. The study discussed above suggested as much. Second, even if the additional requirements would turn out to be sufficient in a crisis, the approach would obviate a decision by the government on whether systemic risk justifies a cap on how large banks can get. 
I suspect that the U.S. Congress and president backed off in really reforming Wall Street because of its money in campaign finance. In short, the big banks in Wall Street didn't want to shrink. In a system of political economy wherein the economy is regulated by government, rather than vice versa, backing off just because large concentrations of wealth (and thus power--even political) don't like the plans is unacceptable. Moreover, it is a sign of encroaching plutocracy wherein the regulated dictate behind closed doors to the regulators and politicians. Meanwhile, the public, including the economy itself, remains vulnerable. 

See Essays on the Financial Crisis: Systemic Greed and Arrogant Stupidity, available at Amazon.

Sources:
Eric Rosengren, “Bank Capital: Lessons from the U.S. Financial Crisis,” Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, February 25, 2013.
Zach Carter and Ryan Grim, “Break Up the Banks’ Bill Gains Steam in Senate As Wall Street Lobbyists Cry Foul,” The Huffington Post, April 8, 2013.